Social Role Model Influence
and Empowering Women
Cannot Produce RPD

The tools most successful in slowing population growth, for example Bill Ryerson's work at the Population Media Center should not be expected to scale up to produce RPD. The demographic transitions in developed countries, mostly achieved by empowering women, should not be expected to scale up to produce RPD.

These processes, based on Albert Bandura's "role-model-influence" research, requires that an actor observe the benefits accruing to individuals with fewer children to motivate the fewer children behavior. But RPD benefits of "none or one" do not existing today in any society. They cannot be observed and thus cannot motivate RPD behavior.

Even if enough people were taking RPD behaviors and producing RPD benefits, it would be impossible for the casual observer to see the RPD actors reaping any benefits. RPD benefits accrue to unborn generations. The RPD actor at best is accruing internal feelings of wellbeing he or she derived from a mental abstraction of these future benefits.

Similar limitations in processes that implement demographic transitions in developed countries exist because they depend on:
    a) women having free choice to choose the number of
    b) the tools to implement that choice, and
    c) knowledge of the outcomes of each alternative choice.
We can fix "a" and "b," but until these women have knowledge of RPD benefits, the none or one child bearing option has very low value.


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